Is Black Friday Dying?

For many years, Black Friday has been a pillar of the shopping industry. The day after Thanksgiving, which marks the start of the holiday shopping season, is when retailers typically offer their biggest discounts, and shoppers flock to stores before dawn in an attempt to snag the best deals. Yet, as we move further into the digital age, many are beginning to wonder whether Black Friday is still as relevant as it once was. In this article, we will explore the history, present state, and possible future of Black Friday, and examine whether it is indeed on the decline.

The History of Black Friday: How it Came to Be

Black Friday dates back to the early 20th century, when department stores in major cities began organizing parades to kick off the Christmas shopping season. The term itself is believed to have originated in Philadelphia in the 1960s – police officers used the phrase to describe the chaos and congestion that resulted from the high volume of shoppers in the city on the day after Thanksgiving.

Over time, the name “Black Friday” became synonymous with shopping, and retailers began offering deep discounts and doorbusters to attract customers. In recent years, some stores have even begun opening their doors on Thanksgiving Day itself, in an attempt to get an early start on sales and compete with online retailers.

Despite its popularity, Black Friday has also been criticized for promoting consumerism and materialism. Some people argue that the focus on shopping and deals takes away from the true meaning of the holiday season, which is about spending time with loved ones and giving back to the community.

Additionally, the rush of shoppers on Black Friday has led to safety concerns and even tragedies. In 2008, a Walmart employee was trampled to death by a crowd of shoppers in Long Island, New York. Since then, many retailers have implemented safety measures such as crowd control and limited quantities of popular items.

The Rise of Online Shopping: Is it Killing Black Friday?

While Black Friday remains one of the biggest shopping events of the year, it is facing increasing competition from online retailers. More and more shoppers are opting to do their holiday shopping from the comfort of their own homes, rather than braving the crowds and chaos of brick-and-mortar stores.

The rise of online shopping has had several negative effects on Black Friday. For one thing, customers can now easily compare prices and look for deals from multiple retailers without having to leave their couch. Additionally, online retailers often offer free shipping and returns, making it more convenient than ever to shop from home. Finally, the convenience of online shopping has led to the rise of Cyber Monday, which is now one of the biggest shopping days of the year.

However, despite the challenges posed by online shopping, Black Friday still holds a special place in the hearts of many shoppers. For some, the tradition of waking up early and heading to the stores with family and friends is a cherished part of the holiday season. Others enjoy the thrill of the hunt, searching for the best deals and bargains in person. And for some, the experience of physically touching and seeing the products before purchasing is important.

Black Friday Sales Numbers: A Look at the Data

Despite the rise of online shopping, Black Friday remains a major event for retailers. In 2019, for example, shoppers spent $7.4 billion in stores on Black Friday, an increase of nearly 2% from the previous year. Additionally, online sales on Black Friday reached a record-high $7.4 billion in 2019, up 19.6% from the previous year.

However, it is worth noting that Black Friday sales growth has slowed in recent years. In 2018, for example, sales increased by just 0.7% compared to the previous year. This indicates that while Black Friday remains a major event for retailers, it may not be growing at the same rate it once was.

One possible reason for the slowing growth of Black Friday sales is the increasing popularity of Cyber Monday. This online shopping event, which takes place on the Monday following Thanksgiving, has been growing in popularity in recent years. In 2019, Cyber Monday sales reached a record-high of $9.4 billion, up 19.7% from the previous year. This suggests that consumers may be shifting their focus from in-store Black Friday deals to online Cyber Monday deals.

The Impact of COVID-19 on Black Friday Sales

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the retail industry as a whole, and Black Friday is no exception. In 2020, many retailers opted to close their stores on Thanksgiving Day itself, in an attempt to reduce the risk of crowds and keep employees safe. Additionally, many shoppers opted to do their holiday shopping online rather than in stores, due to concerns about the virus.

Despite these challenges, Black Friday 2020 was still a major event for retailers. According to Adobe Analytics, online sales on Black Friday reached a new record of $9 billion, up 22% from the previous year. This demonstrates that while the pandemic may have changed the way we shop, it has not eliminated the importance of Black Friday altogether.

However, the impact of COVID-19 on Black Friday sales was not evenly distributed across all retailers. Small businesses, in particular, were hit hard by the pandemic and struggled to compete with larger retailers who had the resources to invest in online sales and marketing. Many small businesses were forced to close their doors permanently, leading to a loss of jobs and economic instability in local communities.

Furthermore, the pandemic also highlighted the need for retailers to prioritize the safety and well-being of their employees. Many workers in the retail industry were deemed essential and had to continue working in stores during the pandemic, putting themselves at risk of contracting the virus. As a result, there were calls for retailers to provide better protections and compensation for their employees, including hazard pay and access to personal protective equipment.

The Evolution of Consumer Behavior on Black Friday

As consumer behavior continues to change, retailers are adapting by offering new and innovative deals and promotions. For example, some retailers are now offering “early Black Friday” deals in the weeks leading up to Thanksgiving, in an attempt to spread out demand and avoid overcrowding in stores on the day itself. Others are offering more targeted sales and deals to specific customer segments, in an attempt to personalize the shopping experience and increase customer loyalty.

Alternatives to Black Friday: What Other Shopping Events are Gaining Traction?

While Black Friday remains a major event, it is facing increasing competition from other shopping events. For example, Amazon’s Prime Day, which takes place in mid-October, has become one of the biggest shopping events of the year, and is now seen by many as a kickoff to the holiday shopping season. Additionally, Small Business Saturday – which encourages shoppers to support local businesses – has gained traction in recent years, and is now seen as a viable alternative to Black Friday.

How Retailers are Adapting to Changing Consumer Preferences on Black Friday

As consumer behavior continues to shift, retailers are adapting by offering new and innovative deals and promotions. For example, some retailers are now offering “early Black Friday” deals in the weeks leading up to Thanksgiving, in an attempt to spread out demand and avoid overcrowding in stores on the day itself. Others are offering more targeted sales and deals to specific customer segments, in an attempt to personalize the shopping experience and increase customer loyalty.

The Impact of Social Media on Black Friday Sales

Social media has had a profound impact on consumer behavior, and this is particularly true on Black Friday. Many retailers now use social media to promote their Black Friday sales and deals, and consumers use social media to share information about deals and seek out recommendations from friends and family. Additionally, influencers and celebrities often partner with retailers on Black Friday promotions, using their social media followings to drive sales and increase brand awareness.

Experts Weigh in: Will Black Friday Survive the Next Decade?

As we look to the future, many experts are asking whether Black Friday is still relevant. Some argue that the rise of online shopping and the changing behavior of consumers will lead to the decline of Black Friday. Others point to the continued importance of the holiday shopping season – and Black Friday as a kickoff to that season – and predict that it will remain a major event for years to come.

Tips for Maximizing Your Savings on Black Friday

If you’re looking to take advantage of Black Friday deals, there are a few tips you should keep in mind. First, do your research ahead of time to find out which retailers are offering the best deals. Second, consider shopping online, where you can easily compare prices and find discounts. Finally, be sure to take advantage of any loyalty programs or credit card perks that can help you save even more money.

The Pros and Cons of Shopping on Black Friday

While there are certainly benefits to shopping on Black Friday – such as deep discounts and access to exclusive deals – there are also some drawbacks to consider. For one thing, stores can be incredibly crowded, which can make the shopping experience stressful and uncomfortable. Additionally, the pressure to snag deals can sometimes lead to impulse purchases and overspending.

The Future of Holiday Shopping: What Can We Expect?

As we look to the future, it is clear that the way we shop will continue to evolve. While Black Friday remains a major event, it is likely that we will see increasingly targeted sales and promotions aimed at specific customer segments. Additionally, online shopping is likely to continue to grow, as consumers demand more convenience and flexibility in their shopping experiences. Only time will tell what the future of holiday shopping will look like, but one thing is for sure – it is likely to be an exciting and ever-changing landscape.

How Small Businesses are Competing with Big Retailers on Black Friday

Black Friday is historically dominated by big retailers like Walmart and Target, who have the resources to offer deep discounts and attract large crowds. However, in recent years, small businesses have been finding ways to compete. For example, some are offering online-only deals that allow them to reach a wider audience, while others are focusing on personalized shopping experiences and unique products that can’t be found at big-box retailers. Additionally, initiatives like Small Business Saturday are helping to bring attention to small businesses and encourage shoppers to support them during the holiday season.

In Conclusion

So, is Black Friday dying? While the data suggests that sales growth has slowed in recent years, it is clear that Black Friday remains a major event for retailers and consumers alike. As we move into the digital age, it is likely that we will see increasingly targeted sales and promotions, as well as a continued push towards online shopping. Nevertheless, the holiday shopping season remains a vital part of the economy, and Black Friday will undoubtedly play a key role in it for years to come.

Please Note: All trademarks and registered trademarks appearing in this article are the property of their respective owners. The use of any registered trademarks mentioned herein is solely for the purpose of identifying the specific products and services offered, and should not be taken as an indication of sponsorship, endorsement, or affiliation with ShipScience. ShipScience acknowledges these trademarks are the property of their respective owners and affirms that no commercial relationship or sponsorship is implied or expressed by their use in this article.
Rate this article:
Share it:

Join hundreds of smart shippers. Guaranteed to save.